- JPMorgan’s research suggests that most long-position liquidations in the cryptocurrency market have been completed.
- The open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts on the CME indicates that the selling trend might soon decelerate.
- Bitcoin’s open interest decline is seen as a sign that the current price trend could be weakening.
- Crypto prices have been on a downtrend due to declining optimism around regulatory developments in the US.
- Positive developments in previous months boosted Bitcoin’s price, including applications for the first US ETFs linked to Bitcoin’s spot price.
- Ripple Labs’ partial victory against the SEC was another positive development, but optimism is fading as traders await ETF decisions and the SEC’s appeal against Ripple.
- Crypto markets are sensitive to future developments and external market conditions, contributing to a “new round of legal uncertainty.”
The cryptocurrency market’s recent downtrend appears to be coming to an end, as JPMorgan’s latest research suggests that most long-position liquidations have been completed.
According to a Bloomberg report, analysts for the American bank estimate that the liquidations are “largely behind us.” The prediction is based on the open interest in Bitcoin (BTC) futures contracts on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) indicating that the selling trend might soon decelerate. Open interest, which refers to active futures contracts, serves as an indicator of market sentiment and the strength of price trends.
Bitcoin’s open interest decline is seen as a sign that the current price trend could be weakening, according to analysts. “As a result, we see limited downside for crypto markets over the near term.”
Crypto prices have been on the downtrend in recent weeks due to declining optimism around regulatory developments in the United States, notes the report. On Aug. 26, Bitcoin is trading close to $26,000, down 11.27% over the past 30 days, according to Coinpostman Markets.
Positive developments in the previous months boosted Bitcoin’s price. Among them were a series of applications for the first U.S. exchange-traded funds (ETFs) linked to Bitcoin’s spot price. The list of players waiting for regulatory approval includes BlackRock, Fidelity, ARK Investments and 21Shares, as well as several other asset managers.
Ripple Labs’ partial victory against the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was another positive development. However, this optimism is gradually fading, notes the analysis, as traders await Bitcoin ETF decisions and the SEC’s appeal against Ripple brings renewed uncertainty.
The scenario contributes to a “new round of legal uncertainty” for crypto markets, making them sensitive to future developments, according to JPMorgan’s team. External market conditions also played a role in the crypto market’s decline, including the rising US real yields and concerns about China’s economic growth.